Sunday, September 4, 2011

Why You Have No Money


UBS and JP Morgan still expect gold to reach $1950 by the end of this month and $2,500 by the end of this year. How much clearer can we make it. Gold is a clear and obvious buy.

What do the Asians know that we don't. Again all over Asia dealers are selling gold at a premium. That means they are charging extra on top of the market price of gold because the demand is outstripping the supply.

The fact that you can make money with gold almost overnight is a no brainer. UBS conclude that the “violent sell-off hasn't done any lasting damage to gold, and the reasons investors bought gold in recent months remain valid. Our one-month forecast of $1950 remains in place.”

UBS three month price view is $2,100 per ounce.

Very significant demand being seen for bullion internationally and especially in Asia means that gold’s correction is likely to again be of short duration. Indeed, the scale of demand suggests that gold may not need a long period of consolidation and could again surprise to the upside.

Non gold experts, many in the financial services industry, continue to warn of a bubble. Their analysis is extremely simplistic and almost exclusively based on recent price action.

However, the majority of those in the industry and the majority of gold market analysts remain bullish.

Throughout August, prior to the recent record nominal high and subsequent selloff, many banks raised their forecasts for the year.

SocGen raised its average gold price forecast to $1,950 an ounce for the fourth quarter of 2011 and to an average of $2,275 per ounce in 2012.

Bank of America-Merrill Lynch said in a research note it was revising its 12-month gold target to $2,000 an ounce.

JPMorgan said that gold could reach over $2,500 per ounce prior to year end.

The recent sell off has not seen banks and analysts revise down their price forecasts.

Since 2003 that the real high of $2,500 per ounce (inflation adjusted and based on CPI) would likely have to be reached prior to gold being a bubble.

Those informed about the gold market know that absolutely nothing has changed about the supply and demand dynamics driving the gold market.

Get in while you can.

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